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IB

INDEPENDENT BANK CORP /MI/ (IBCP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid quarter: Net income rose 26.7% YoY to $17.5M and diluted EPS was $0.84, with sequential growth in net interest income (+1.7% QoQ) and strong efficiency (58.86%) amid stable underlying NIM after adjusting for sub-debt redemption costs .
  • Consensus context: S&P Global shows EPS slightly above consensus and a clear revenue beat on their revenue definition; management-reported diluted EPS was $0.84, while Primary EPS actual per S&P Global printed higher, reflecting definitional differences between GAAP diluted vs S&P’s “Primary EPS” construct (see Estimates table) .
  • Credit remains healthy but watch an idiosyncratic NPA uptick: NPAs/assets rose to 0.38% from 0.16% QoQ due to one commercial relationship; allowance at 1.49% and YTD annualized NCOs of 0.04% remain benign .
  • Balance sheet momentum: Core (ex‑brokered) deposits grew $148.2M QoQ (13% annualized), loans grew $33.9M (3.2% annualized), and TCE/share increased to $22.29, with sub-debt redemption executed in August and liquidity/capital strong .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • NII growth and operating efficiency: Net interest income rose 8.4% YoY and 1.7% QoQ; efficiency ratio improved to 58.86% (vs 62.82% in 3Q24) .
    • Core funding and balance sheet: Core deposits (ex‑brokered) increased $148.2M QoQ; total deposits up $205.1M YTD; liquidity lines (FHLB/FRB) of ~$1.62B plus unpledged securities support ample capacity .
    • Management tone and NIM resilience: CEO emphasized “continued positive momentum” and stable underlying NIM excluding sub‑debt cost acceleration; CFO expects margin to remain fairly stable even with forecasted cuts, citing asset remix tailwinds (“still tailwind there that we’re really optimistic about”) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Asset quality optics: Non-performing assets rose to 0.38% of assets (from 0.16% QoQ) due primarily to one commercial relationship migrating to non‑accrual; NPLs/loans rose to 0.48% .
    • Mortgage banking softer: Net gains on mortgage loans fell YoY ($1.5M vs $2.2M) on lower margins and volumes; servicing revenue is lower post sale of ~$931M MSRs in Jan 2025 .
    • Funding cost mix: Total cost of funds increased 6 bps QoQ to ~1.82%, with CFO noting mix/tiering from municipal inflows drove part of the uptick .

Financial Results

Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global definitions)

MetricEstimateActualSurprise
EPS (Primary)*$0.84$0.86Beat
Revenue ($) (S&P definition)*$49.29M$55.31MBeat

Company-reported income statement highlights

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Interest Income$41.854M $44.615M $45.361M
Non-interest Income$9.508M $11.325M $11.937M
Net Income$13.810M $16.877M $17.502M
EPS – Basic$0.66 $0.81 $0.85
EPS – Diluted$0.65 $0.81 $0.84

Margins and returns

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
NIM (FTE)3.37% 3.58% 3.54%
Efficiency Ratio62.82% 59.67% 58.86%
ROAA1.04% 1.27% 1.27%
ROAE12.54% 14.66% 14.57%

Balance sheet and KPIs

MetricQ2 2025Q3 2025
Loans (EOP)$4.164B $4.198B
Deposits (EOP)$4.659B $4.859B
Total Assets (EOP)$5.419B $5.493B
TCE/TA8.16% 8.44%
Tangible Book Value/Share$21.23 $22.29
NPLs/Loans0.20% 0.48%
NPAs/Assets0.16% 0.38%
ACL/Loans1.47% 1.49%

Select mix and funding (EOP)

MetricQ3 2025
Deposit mix: Non‑interest bearing / Savings & Interest Checking / Reciprocal / Time / Brokered time21% / 42% / 20% / 14% / 4%
Loan mix: Commercial / Mortgage / Installment50% / 36% / 13% (portfolio context)

Dividend

  • Declared $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, payable Nov 14, 2025 to holders of record Nov 4, 2025 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Jan 2025 outlook)Current Update (Q3 commentary)Change
Net Interest Income growthFY 2025+8% to +9% YoY Q3 NII +8.4% YoY; tracking within outlook Maintained
NIM (FTE) vs FY24FY 2025+20–25 bps Q3 NIM 3.54% vs 3.37% in 3Q24; stable ex sub-debt cost Maintained (stable)
Loan growthFY 2025Mid-single digit (~5–6%) overall; Commercial +9–10%; Mortgage +2–3%; Installment −2–3% Q3 total loans +3.2% annualized; YTD +5.3% annualized (within range) Maintained
Provision for credit lossesFY 2025~0.15%–0.20% of avg loans Q3 provision 0.19% annualized (within range) Maintained
Non-interest income (quarterly)FY 2025Q3/Q4 $12–$13M per quarter Q3 $11.9M (slightly below) Slightly below run-rate
Non-interest expense (quarterly)FY 2025$34.5–$35.5M per quarter Q3 $34.1M (below range) Better than guidance
Effective tax rateFY 2025~19% Q3 17.3% Below planned
Share repurchases2025Authorization up to 1.1M shares; not modeling repurchases Repurchased 13,732 shares in Q3 ($0.4M) Minimal activity

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025 and Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
NIM trajectoryQ1: +4 bps QoQ to 3.49% ; Q2: +9 bps QoQ to 3.58% 3.54%; stable ex 3 bps sub‑debt cost and higher liquidity Stabilizing near recent highs
Loan growth focus (C&I)Q1: loans +3.4% annualized ; Q2: +9.0% annualized +3.2% annualized; commercial +$57M QoQ; pipeline “robust” Continued, but moderated
Deposit competition/costsQ1: modest core growth ; Q2: seasonal core down 1.4% annualized Core up $148M QoQ; cost of funds +6 bps with municipal mix Funding mix improved; pricing competitive
Mortgage banking/MSRQ1: MSR FV headwind (−$1.5M price) ; Q2: MSR net +$0.5M; prior-year equity gains absent Net +$0.1M; MSR revenue lower post-Jan MSR sale Lower volatility post-MSRS sale
Credit qualityQ1/Q2: NPAs 0.14–0.16% of assets NPAs/assets 0.38% on one commercial relationship; NCOs remain low Largely isolated uptick
Capital & liquidityQ1/Q2: well-capitalized; TCE rising Sub-debt redeemed; TCE/TA 8.44%; ample unused FHLB/FRB Strong, accretive TCE/share

Management Commentary

  • Strategic message: “I am proud of our team’s performance… We achieved growth in net interest income… I would characterize the NIM as stable when adjusting for [sub-debt redemption]… Expense management remains a strength… ROAA of 1.27% and ROAE of 14.57%” — Brad Kessel, CEO .
  • Margin outlook: “I do anticipate the margin to be fairly stable… still tailwind [from] remixing and repricing of lower yielding assets” — Gavin Mohr, CFO .
  • Commercial growth engine: “Another solid quarter of commercial loan growth… mix 58% C&I / 42% investment real estate… pipeline remains robust” — Joel Rahn, EVP Commercial Banking .
  • Funding dynamics: “For the six basis point [COF] increase… very healthy deposit growth… a lot were municipal tax collections slotting at higher tiers” — Gavin Mohr, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Talent acquisition: Hired three veteran commercial bankers in SE Michigan, leveraging market consolidation to attract relationship bankers seeking a community-bank model .
  • NIM path with cuts: CFO expects NIM “fairly stable” even with additional cuts; highlighted ~3 bps sub‑debt cost and ~3 bps excess liquidity drag in Q3; sees ongoing positive remixing tailwind .
  • Credit optics: The NPA increase is concentrated in “one investment real estate commercial relationship”; management believes it is adequately reserved and is working toward resolution .
  • Funding costs/competition: Market is competitive; COF up 6 bps QoQ driven by mix/tiers (municipal deposits) .
  • Spot rate datapoint: Interest‑bearing deposit spot rate at 2.17% as of 9:30 AM (day of call) .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: S&P Global consensus $0.84*, vs actual $0.86* on their “Primary EPS” basis — a modest beat. Note: Company-reported diluted EPS was $0.84 (GAAP), reflecting definitional differences vs S&P’s primary EPS construct .
  • Revenue: S&P Global consensus $49.29M*, vs actual $55.31M* — a clear beat. Company-reported components: NII $45.36M and non-interest income $11.94M .
  • Coverage depth: 5 EPS estimates and 4 revenue estimates; S&P Global target price consensus $35.2* (5 estimates) [GetEstimates].

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings quality: Underlying NIM appears stable ex one‑time sub‑debt cost acceleration, with remix/repricing tailwinds cited for 2026 — supportive for sustained core earnings power .
  • Positive operating leverage: Efficiency ratio improved to 58.86%; non‑interest expense ran below the quarterly guidance range while NII continued to rise .
  • Credit watch item but contained: A single commercial relationship drove the NPA uptick; ACL/loans at 1.49% and very low YTD annualized NCOs (0.04%) temper risk; monitor resolution cadence and any migration to losses .
  • Funding momentum: Strong core deposit inflows, improved TCE/share, and sizable contingent liquidity provide flexibility if competition persists or rates move lower .
  • Mortgage banking reset: Post‑MSR sale revenue run-rate is lower but valuation volatility reduced; mortgage gains moderated — expect steadier but smaller contribution near-term .
  • 2025 outlook intact: NII growth, NIM up YoY, loan growth mid-single digits, and provision guide all tracking within plan; non-interest expense performance is better than guide .
  • Near-term trading frame: The combination of a revenue/EPS beat on S&P definitions, efficient expense control, and stable margin commentary is supportive; offset by headline NPA increase centered in one relationship [GetEstimates] .

Appendix: Additional Detail

Segment/mix tables

Loans by type (EOP)

Category12/31/20249/30/2025
Commercial$1.937B $2.125B
Mortgage$1.517B $1.518B
Installment$0.585B $0.556B
Total$4.039B $4.198B

Asset quality summary

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
NPLs ($)$5.148M $6.002M $8.204M $20.355M
NPLs/Loans0.13% 0.15% 0.20% 0.48%
NPAs/Assets0.11% 0.13% 0.16% 0.38%
ACL/Loans1.46% 1.47% 1.47% 1.49%

Notable corporate action

  • Redeemed $40M floating sub notes on Aug 31, 2025; small NIM impact via accelerated unamortized costs in Q3 .

Sources: Company press release and 8‑K exhibits (including supplemental data and presentation deck) and earnings call transcript for Q3 2025; Q1 and Q2 2025 press releases for prior-trend context .